Book

Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (edited with Paul Slovic & Amos Tversky)

by Daniel Kahneman

Summary

This book argues that humans miscalculate risks due to their hunter-gatherer brains, leading to irrational fears of trivial threats while ignoring significant dangers. It analyzes how media and politicians exploit these fears. By dissecting the new brain science of risk, the book reveals how "gut" reactions lead us astray, but understanding these biases can free individuals from manipulation and improve decision-making. The core takeaway is that recognizing the psychological underpinnings of fear allows for clearer thinking and greater bravery in the face of perceived threats.

Key concepts

  • Irrational fearFear disproportionate to actual risk, often stemming from flawed risk calculation.
  • Hunter-gatherer brainsThe evolutionary basis for human decision-making, which can lead to miscalculations in modern contexts.
  • Risk calculationThe cognitive process individuals use to assess the likelihood and severity of potential dangers.
  • ManipulationThe exploitation of individuals' irrational fears for political or corporate gain.

From the book

Description: “An invaluable resource for anyone who aspires to think clearly” (The Guardian) from the New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble From terror attacks to collapsing economies, from painkiller epidemics to mass gun violence and poisonous toys from China, our list of fears seems to be exploding. Yet we are the safest and healthiest humans in history. Why are we so worried? The Science of Fear is an introduction to the new brain science of risk, dissecting the fears that misguide and manipulate us every day. Award-winning journalist Dan Gardner demonstrates how irrational fear springs from the ways humans miscalculate risks based on our hunter-gatherer brains. With the exclusive cooperation of risk-science pioneer Paul Slovic and other leading…
Snippet: ... Dale Griffin, and Daniel <b>Kahneman</b> (eds.), <b>Heuristics and Biases</b>: The Psychology of Intuitive <b>Judgment</b>, Cambridge University Press, New York, 2002. <b>Kahneman</b>, Daniel, <b>Paul Slovic</b>, and <b>Amos Tversky</b> (eds.), <b>Judgment Under Uncertainty</b>:&nbsp;...

Popular questions readers ask